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Bayesian Inference for Proportion of Water on Earth

Jason Cleveland, Jacksonville State University

Overview of Lesson
In this lesson, students will practice data collection through simulation, performing estimation, and providing support for or against a claim. The focus will be on what proportion of Earth is covered by water. To accomplish this, students will employ a simple technique for binary data and use web apps that visually display some of the harder concepts they can learn later.

Download: Lesson Plan (PDF)
Download: Lesson Plan (Word)
Download: Student Worksheet (Word)
Download: Beta Distribution Briefly Explained (Word)
Download: Weighted Average Computation (Word)
Download: How to use RANDOM.ORG (Word)
Download: Instructions for Using Matt Bognar’s Probability Distribution Applet (Word)